Poland Championship. Liga 1

GKS Tychy vs Stal Rzeszow: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

GKS Tychyvs

Stal Rzeszow

Our predictionGKS Tychy to win

Confidence: Low

Our model leans GKS Tychy (38% probability), low confidence.

Win probabilities

1 · GKS Tychy38%

Draw27%

2 · Stal Rzeszow35%

1 · GKS TychyDraw2 · Stal Rzeszow

Team strength rating

GKS Tychy

Stal Rzeszow

Full team comparison →

Recent form

GKS TychyDWLLL

Stal RzeszowWWWLW

Expected goals

1.41GKS Tychy

1.19Stal Rzeszow

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score53%

Most likely scorelines

1-112.4%

1-010.5%

0-18.8%

2-18.8%

1-27.4%

0-07.4%

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	9	5	2
1	10	12	7	3
2	7	9	5	2
3	3	4	2
4	1	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Key points

Recent form favours Stal Rzeszow.
The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
GKS Tychy have home advantage.

Match DNA

GKS Tychy Stal Rzeszow

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between GKS Tychy and Stal Rzeszow. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 38% for GKS Tychy, 27% for the draw and 35% for Stal Rzeszow.

Several signals point toward GKS Tychy. GKS Tychy have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 GKS Tychy wins, 1 draws and 2 Stal Rzeszow wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 1-0, 5-1, 2-0, 1-2.

On form, GKS Tychy show D-W-L-L-L across their recent outings, while Stal Rzeszow read W-W-W-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, GKS Tychy or Stal Rzeszow?

Our model rates GKS Tychy as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 3 GKS Tychy wins, 1 draws, 2 Stal Rzeszow wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Referee: 6a0f93725e99bd05c62b62a8

Possession

Total shots

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

Offsides

Fouls

17'⚽Krasovsky V.

Kadzior•21'

22'🟨Kaczor

Baranski🟨39'

Match story

How the game unfolded

0–15'0–0

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'0–1

Stal Rzeszow make it count (Krasovsky V. (17')). It's 0–1 at this point.

17'⚽Krasovsky V.21'•Kadzior22'🟨Kaczor39'🟨Baranski

Half-time

Half-time score: GKS Tychy 0 – 1 Stal Rzeszow.

45–75'0–1

The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–1)

75–90'+0–1

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–1)

Full time: GKS Tychy 0 – 1 Stal Rzeszow

League table

Poland Championship. Liga 1

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Wisla Krakow	33	19	3	11	70:32	68
2	Slask Wroclaw	33	17	6	10	69:47	61
3	KS Wieczysta Krakow	33	16	9	8	69:46	56
4	Chrobry Glogow	33	16	11	6	47:35	54
5	Ruch Chorzow	33	14	8	11	52:43	53
6	LKS Lodz	33	14	10	9	53:47	51
7	KSP Polonia Warszawa	33	14	11	8	50:48	50
8	Puszcza Niepolomice	33	12	8	13	44:38	49
9	Miedz Legnica	33	14	12	7	50:52	49
10	Polonia Bytom	33	13	12	8	55:46	47
11	Odra Opole	33	11	11	11	33:38	44
12	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	33	11	11	11	51:54	44
13	Stal Rzeszow	33	12	15	6	46:57	42
14	Pogon Siedlce	33	9	15	9	33:41	36
15	Stal Mielec	33	9	18	6	47:61	33
16	Gornik Leczna	33	5	16	12	38:59	27
17	Znicz Pruszkow	33	6	20	7	37:66	25
18	GKS Tychy	33	5	21	7	37:71	22