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Poland Championship. Liga 1

KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Chrobry Glogow: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta KrakowvsChrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow
Our predictionKS Wieczysta Krakow to win
Confidence: High
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans KS Wieczysta Krakow (52% probability), high confidence.

Win probabilities

1 · KS Wieczysta Krakow52%
Draw19%
2 · Chrobry Glogow29%
1 · KS Wieczysta KrakowDraw2 · Chrobry Glogow
Team strength rating
KS Wieczysta Krakow
79
Chrobry Glogow
27
Full team comparison

Recent form

KS Wieczysta KrakowWWWLL
Chrobry GlogowLLLLL

Expected goals

1.67KS Wieczysta Krakow
xG
0.96Chrobry Glogow
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score50%

Most likely scorelines

1-012.1%
1-111.6%
2-010.1%
2-19.6%
0-07.2%
0-16.9%

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07731
1121262
2101051
3653
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2KS Wieczysta Krakow win2.02Value (+5.2%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2KS Wieczysta Krakow2.02+5.2%
1X2Draw4.37-2.1%
1X2Chrobry Glogow2.90-3.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
KS Wieczysta Krakow Chrobry Glogow

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between KS Wieczysta Krakow and Chrobry Glogow. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 52% for KS Wieczysta Krakow, 19% for the draw and 29% for Chrobry Glogow.

Several signals point toward KS Wieczysta Krakow. The odds point to a clear favourite. Head-to-head record favours KS Wieczysta Krakow (2-0-0). Recent form favours KS Wieczysta Krakow.

Across the last 2 meetings, the record reads 2 KS Wieczysta Krakow wins, 0 draws and 0 Chrobry Glogow wins. Recent scorelines: 1-2, 2-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, KS Wieczysta Krakow show W-W-W-L-L across their recent outings, while Chrobry Glogow read L-L-L-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "KS Wieczysta Krakow" (1X2): we rate it 52% versus the 46% implied by odds of 2.02 — an edge of 5.2 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, KS Wieczysta Krakow or Chrobry Glogow?

Our model rates KS Wieczysta Krakow as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Chrobry Glogow?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 2 KS Wieczysta Krakow wins, 0 draws, 0 Chrobry Glogow wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

illustrative trend
4.824.083.342.591.85
Home 2.02 Draw 4.37 Away 2.90

Match statistics

Referee: 5fd0c019f75a663f697d9343
46
Possession
54
6
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
2
1
Corners
2
3
Offsides
0
3
Fouls
3
Feiertag19'
33'Bonecki

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'11

An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Feiertag (19'), Bonecki (33')). Score moves to 1–1.

19'Feiertag33'Bonecki
Half-time

Half-time score: KS Wieczysta Krakow 1 – 1 Chrobry Glogow.

45–75'11

The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–1)

75–90'+11

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–1)

Full time: KS Wieczysta Krakow 11 Chrobry Glogow

League table

Poland Championship. Liga 1
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Wisla Krakow331931170:3268
2Slask Wroclaw331761069:4761
3KS Wieczysta Krakow33169869:4656
4Chrobry Glogow331611647:3554
5Ruch Chorzow331481152:4353
6LKS Lodz331410953:4751
7KSP Polonia Warszawa331411850:4850
8Puszcza Niepolomice331281344:3849
9Miedz Legnica331412750:5249
10Polonia Bytom331312855:4647
11Odra Opole3311111133:3844
12Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3311111151:5444
13Stal Rzeszow331215646:5742
14Pogon Siedlce33915933:4136
15Stal Mielec33918647:6133
16Gornik Leczna335161238:5927
17Znicz Pruszkow33620737:6625
18GKS Tychy33521737:7122
Promotion - Premier League Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play-off: Round of 4) Relegation - Division 2

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.