KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Chrobry Glogow: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans KS Wieczysta Krakow (52% probability), high confidence.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Head-to-head record favours KS Wieczysta Krakow (2-0-0).
- Recent form favours KS Wieczysta Krakow.
- KS Wieczysta Krakow have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between KS Wieczysta Krakow and Chrobry Glogow. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 52% for KS Wieczysta Krakow, 19% for the draw and 29% for Chrobry Glogow.
Several signals point toward KS Wieczysta Krakow. The odds point to a clear favourite. Head-to-head record favours KS Wieczysta Krakow (2-0-0). Recent form favours KS Wieczysta Krakow.
Across the last 2 meetings, the record reads 2 KS Wieczysta Krakow wins, 0 draws and 0 Chrobry Glogow wins. Recent scorelines: 1-2, 2-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, KS Wieczysta Krakow show W-W-W-L-L across their recent outings, while Chrobry Glogow read L-L-L-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "KS Wieczysta Krakow" (1X2): we rate it 52% versus the 46% implied by odds of 2.02 — an edge of 5.2 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, KS Wieczysta Krakow or Chrobry Glogow?
Our model rates KS Wieczysta Krakow as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Chrobry Glogow?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 KS Wieczysta Krakow wins, 0 draws, 0 Chrobry Glogow wins.
Odds movement
illustrative trendMatch statistics
Referee: 5fd0c019f75a663f697d9343Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Feiertag (19'), Bonecki (33')). Score moves to 1–1.
Half-time score: KS Wieczysta Krakow 1 – 1 Chrobry Glogow.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–1)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–1)
League table
Poland Championship. Liga 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 70:32 | 68 | |
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 69:47 | 61 | |
| 3 | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 69:46 | 56 | |
| 4 | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 47:35 | 54 | |
| 5 | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 52:43 | 53 | |
| 6 | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 53:47 | 51 | |
| 7 | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 50:48 | 50 | |
| 8 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 44:38 | 49 | |
| 9 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 50:52 | 49 | |
| 10 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 55:46 | 47 | |
| 11 | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 33:38 | 44 | |
| 12 | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 51:54 | 44 | |
| 13 | 33 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 46:57 | 42 | |
| 14 | 33 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 33:41 | 36 | |
| 15 | 33 | 9 | 18 | 6 | 47:61 | 33 | |
| 16 | 33 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 38:59 | 27 | |
| 17 | 33 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 37:66 | 25 | |
| 18 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 37:71 | 22 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.