Avai vs Goias Esporte Clube: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Avaivs
Goias Esporte ClubeOur model leans the draw (41% probability), low confidence.
Why this prediction
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Avai are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Goias Esporte Clube are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Avai have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- Avai are dealing with notable absentees.
- Goias Esporte Clube are dealing with notable absentees.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Avai and Goias Esporte Clube. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 18% for Avai, 41% for the draw and 41% for Goias Esporte Clube.
Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Avai wins, 1 draws and 2 Goias Esporte Clube wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 2-1, 2-1, 2-0, 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Avai show D-L-D-W-D across their recent outings, while Goias Esporte Clube read W-L-W-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Avai or Goias Esporte Clube?
Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Avai vs Goias Esporte Clube?
A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Avai wins, 1 draws, 2 Goias Esporte Clube wins.
Odds movement
illustrative trendMatch statistics
Referee: 636835c794fca712b401408bMatch story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
Half-time score: Avai 0 – 0 Goias Esporte Clube.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Clube Nautico Capibaribe | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Sport Club do Recife | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 |  Fortaleza EC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Sao Bernardo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Vila Nova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Novorizontino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Goias Esporte Clube | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:12 | 13 |
| 8 |  Criciuma | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 9 |  Ceara | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 10 |  Esporte Clube Juventude | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 13 |
| 11 |  Atletico Clube Goianiense | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 12 |  Operario Ferroviario | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 13 |  CRB Maceio | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club MG | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 15 | Avai | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 16 |  Cuiaba | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:5 | 10 |
| 17 |  Botafogo Ribeirao Preto | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 19 |  Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 20 |  America Minas Gerais | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5:17 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.