Club Atletico Colon vs Club Atletico Mitre: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Atletico Colonvs
Club Atletico MitreOur model leans Club Atletico Colon (51% probability), medium confidence.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Head-to-head record favours Club Atletico Mitre (1-1-2).
- Recent form favours Club Atletico Mitre.
- Club Atletico Colon have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Club Atletico Colon and Club Atletico Mitre. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 51% for Club Atletico Colon, 12% for the draw and 37% for Club Atletico Mitre.
Several signals point toward Club Atletico Colon. The odds point to a clear favourite. Club Atletico Colon have home advantage.
Across the last 4 meetings, the record reads 1 Club Atletico Colon wins, 1 draws and 2 Club Atletico Mitre wins. Recent scorelines: 0-1, 0-1, 1-2, 2-2.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Club Atletico Colon show D-W-D-D-L across their recent outings, while Club Atletico Mitre read W-D-W-D-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Club Atletico Mitre" (1X2): we rate it 37% versus the 32% implied by odds of 2.90 — an edge of 4.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Atletico Colon or Club Atletico Mitre?
Our model rates Club Atletico Colon as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Atletico Colon vs Club Atletico Mitre?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Club Atletico Colon wins, 1 draws, 2 Club Atletico Mitre wins.
Odds movement
illustrative trendMatch statistics
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.