Olimpia Grudziadz vs Hutnik Nowa Huta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Olimpia Grudziadz (88% probability), high confidence.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 2 | 20 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 10 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Head-to-head record favours Olimpia Grudziadz (3-2-1).
- Olimpia Grudziadz have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Olimpia Grudziadz and Hutnik Nowa Huta. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 88% for Olimpia Grudziadz, 2% for the draw and 10% for Hutnik Nowa Huta.
Several signals point toward Olimpia Grudziadz. The odds point to a clear favourite. Head-to-head record favours Olimpia Grudziadz (3-2-1). Olimpia Grudziadz have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Olimpia Grudziadz wins, 2 draws and 1 Hutnik Nowa Huta wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2, 4-3, 1-1, 1-2, 0-2.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Olimpia Grudziadz show W-L-D-W-L across their recent outings, while Hutnik Nowa Huta read L-W-W-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 21%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Olimpia Grudziadz or Hutnik Nowa Huta?
Our model rates Olimpia Grudziadz as the most likely outcome at 88% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Hutnik Nowa Huta?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Olimpia Grudziadz wins, 2 draws, 1 Hutnik Nowa Huta wins.
Odds movement
illustrative trendMatch statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedHutnik Nowa Huta make it count (Prusinski (3')). It's 0–1 at this point.
Olimpia Grudziadz make it count (Kacper Jarzec (33'), Frelek (36')). It's 2–1 at this point.
Half-time score: Olimpia Grudziadz 2 – 1 Hutnik Nowa Huta.
No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 2–1.
No goals but plenty of bite: 3 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 2–1.
League table
Poland Championship. Liga 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 68 | |
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 55:35 | 63 | |
| 3 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 66:40 | 60 | |
| 4 | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 62:42 | 55 | |
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45:33 | 53 | |
| 6 | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 62:49 | 52 | |
| 7 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53:40 | 52 | |
| 8 | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56:47 | 49 | |
| 9 | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 45:46 | 46 | |
| 10 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:37 | 45 | |
| 11 | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 51:58 | 44 | |
| 12 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 55:43 | 43 | |
| 13 | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 46:45 | 41 | |
| 14 | 33 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 45:61 | 34 | |
| 15 | 33 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 37:60 | 34 | |
| 16 | 33 | 7 | 16 | 10 | 35:54 | 31 | |
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 32:62 | 25 | |
| 18 | 33 | 0 | 26 | 7 | 18:81 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.