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Poland Championship. Liga 2

Olimpia Grudziadz vs Hutnik Nowa Huta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia GrudziadzvsHutnik Nowa Huta Hutnik Nowa Huta
Our predictionOlimpia Grudziadz to win
Confidence: High
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Olimpia Grudziadz (88% probability), high confidence.

Win probabilities

1 · Olimpia Grudziadz88%
Draw2%
2 · Hutnik Nowa Huta10%
1 · Olimpia GrudziadzDraw2 · Hutnik Nowa Huta
Team strength rating
Olimpia Grudziadz
88
Hutnik Nowa Huta
33
Full team comparison

Recent form

Olimpia GrudziadzWLDWL
Hutnik Nowa HutaLWWDW

Expected goals

2.44Olimpia Grudziadz
xG
0.27Hutnik Nowa Huta
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score21%

Most likely scorelines

2-019.9%
1-016.3%
3-016.2%
4-09.8%
0-06.7%
2-15.3%

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
072
1164
2205
3164
4103
551

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Olimpia Grudziadz win1.07Fair (+0.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Olimpia Grudziadz1.07+0.6%
1X2Draw51.00-0.1%
1X2Hutnik Nowa Huta9.00-0.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Olimpia Grudziadz Hutnik Nowa Huta

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Olimpia Grudziadz and Hutnik Nowa Huta. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 88% for Olimpia Grudziadz, 2% for the draw and 10% for Hutnik Nowa Huta.

Several signals point toward Olimpia Grudziadz. The odds point to a clear favourite. Head-to-head record favours Olimpia Grudziadz (3-2-1). Olimpia Grudziadz have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Olimpia Grudziadz wins, 2 draws and 1 Hutnik Nowa Huta wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2, 4-3, 1-1, 1-2, 0-2.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Olimpia Grudziadz show W-L-D-W-L across their recent outings, while Hutnik Nowa Huta read L-W-W-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 21%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Olimpia Grudziadz or Hutnik Nowa Huta?

Our model rates Olimpia Grudziadz as the most likely outcome at 88% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Hutnik Nowa Huta?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 3 Olimpia Grudziadz wins, 2 draws, 1 Hutnik Nowa Huta wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

illustrative trend
56.2842.4628.6414.821.00
Home 1.07 Draw 51.00 Away 9.00

Match statistics

55
Possession
45
10
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
5
Corners
1
4
Yellow cards
3
3'Prusinski
15'🟨Burca
Kacper Jarzec33'
33'🟨Hoyo-Kowalski
Frelek36'
46'Urbanczyk
Kaczmarek52'
58'🟨Prusinski
61'Rzepka
Stolc🟨61'
Kaczmarek69'
73'Szablowski
73'Budzinski
77'Guerrier W. D.
Zbiciak🟨78'
Cichon🟨82'
Unknown🟨85'

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'01

Hutnik Nowa Huta make it count (Prusinski (3')). It's 0–1 at this point.

3'Prusinski
15–45'21

Olimpia Grudziadz make it count (Kacper Jarzec (33'), Frelek (36')). It's 2–1 at this point.

15'🟨Burca33'Kacper Jarzec33'🟨Hoyo-Kowalski36'Frelek
Half-time

Half-time score: Olimpia Grudziadz 2 – 1 Hutnik Nowa Huta.

45–75'21

No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 2–1.

46'Urbanczyk52'Kaczmarek58'🟨Prusinski61'Rzepka61'🟨Stolc69'Kaczmarek73'Szablowski73'Budzinski
75–90'+21

No goals but plenty of bite: 3 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 2–1.

77'Guerrier W. D.78'🟨Zbiciak82'🟨Cichon85'🟨Unknown
Full time: Olimpia Grudziadz 21 Hutnik Nowa Huta

League table

Poland Championship. Liga 2
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Unia Skierniewice33217568:4368
2Warta Poznan331741255:3563
3Olimpia Grudziadz32176966:4060
4Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala331610762:4255
5NKP Podhale Nowy Targ331361445:3353
6Slask Wroclaw II331511762:4952
7Sandecja Nowy Sacz331371353:4052
8Chojniczanka Chojnice3313101056:4749
9Rekord Bielsko-Biala3312111045:4646
10Hutnik Nowa Huta321211945:3745
11Swit Skolwin331213851:5844
12Stal Stalowa Wola33981655:4343
13CWKS Resovia Rzeszow3310121146:4541
14K.S. Sokol Kleczew33917745:6134
15Zaglebie Sosnowiec33917737:6034
16KKS 1925 Kalisz337161035:5431
17LKS Lodz II335181032:6225
18GKS Jastrzebie33026718:816
Promotion - First Division Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play-off) Division 2 (Promotion (Play-off)) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.