Cavalry vs Pacific: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cavalryvs
PacificOur model leans Cavalry (67% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours Cavalry (4-1-1).
- −Recent form favours Pacific.
- +Cavalry have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Cavalry (4-1-1).
- Recent form favours Pacific.
- Cavalry have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: an open game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Cavalry and Pacific. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 67% for Cavalry, 12% for the draw and 21% for Pacific.
Several signals point toward Cavalry. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Cavalry (4-1-1). Cavalry have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 Cavalry wins, 1 draws and 1 Pacific wins. Recent scorelines: 1-3, 1-2, 3-3, 1-0, 1-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Cavalry show W-L-W-D-D across their recent outings, while Pacific read W-W-W-W-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 47%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cavalry or Pacific?
Our model rates Cavalry as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cavalry vs Pacific?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Cavalry wins, 1 draws, 1 Pacific wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
illustrative trendMatch statistics
Referee: 62659eb9f75a663f6911d3daLeague table
Canada. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Forge | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Cavalry | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 3 |  Inter Toronto | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Atletico Ottawa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 5 |  Supra du Quebec | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 6 |  HFX Wanderers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 7 |  Vancouver Langley | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 8 | Pacific | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6:12 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.