Carabobo vs Deportivo Tachira: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Carabobovs
Deportivo TachiraOur model leans Carabobo (41% probability), low confidence.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- Head-to-head record favours Deportivo Tachira (1-1-4).
- Recent form favours Carabobo.
- Carabobo have home advantage.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Carabobo and Deportivo Tachira. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 41% for Carabobo, 25% for the draw and 35% for Deportivo Tachira.
Several signals point toward Carabobo. Recent form favours Carabobo. Carabobo have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Carabobo wins, 1 draws and 4 Deportivo Tachira wins. Recent scorelines: 3-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-1, 3-0.
On form, Carabobo show W-W-L-W-W across their recent outings, while Deportivo Tachira read W-D-L-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Carabobo or Deportivo Tachira?
Our model rates Carabobo as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Carabobo wins, 1 draws, 4 Deportivo Tachira wins.
Match statistics
Referee: 60513713f75a663f69d113a8Match story
How the game unfoldedNo goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)
Half-time score: Carabobo 0 – 0 Deportivo Tachira.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.