Colchagua Club de Deportes vs Santiago Morning: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Colchagua Club de Deportesvs
Santiago MorningOur model leans Santiago Morning (38% probability), medium confidence.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Colchagua Club de Deportes have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Colchagua Club de Deportes and Santiago Morning. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 37% for Colchagua Club de Deportes, 26% for the draw and 38% for Santiago Morning.
Several signals point toward Santiago Morning. The odds point to a clear favourite.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 1 Colchagua Club de Deportes wins, 0 draws and 0 Santiago Morning wins. Recent scorelines: 0-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-2 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Colchagua Club de Deportes show L-W-L-D-L across their recent outings, while Santiago Morning read L-W-D-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Colchagua Club de Deportes or Santiago Morning?
Our model rates Santiago Morning as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Colchagua Club de Deportes vs Santiago Morning?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Colchagua Club de Deportes wins, 0 draws, 0 Santiago Morning wins.
Odds movement
illustrative trendMatch statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedColchagua Club de Deportes make it count (Diaz (9')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Santiago Morning make it count (Рубио Emerson (15')). It's 1–1 at this point.
Half-time score: Colchagua Club de Deportes 1 – 1 Santiago Morning.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–1)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–1)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.