Amazonas vs Ferroviaria: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Amazonasvs
FerroviariaOur model leans Amazonas (39% probability), low confidence.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- Head-to-head record favours Ferroviaria (0-1-1).
- Amazonas have home advantage.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Amazonas and Ferroviaria. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 39% for Amazonas, 25% for the draw and 36% for Ferroviaria.
Several signals point toward Amazonas. Amazonas have home advantage.
Across the last 2 meetings, the record reads 0 Amazonas wins, 1 draws and 1 Ferroviaria wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 0-0.
On form, Amazonas show L-W-D-D-W across their recent outings, while Ferroviaria read L-W-D-D-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Amazonas or Ferroviaria?
Our model rates Amazonas as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Amazonas wins, 1 draws, 1 Ferroviaria wins.
Match statistics
Referee: 5f710227f75a663f69055702Match story
How the game unfoldedNo goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
Amazonas make it count (Ronaldo (45+4')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Amazonas 1 – 0 Ferroviaria.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Série C - First stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guarani | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Paysandu | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 14 |
| 3 |  Brusque | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Amazonas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 5 |  Ituano | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 6 |  Maringa Futebol Clube | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 7 |  Floresta EC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 8 |  S.E.R. Caxias do Sul | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Associacao Atletica Internacional | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 10 |  Santa Cruz | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 11 |  Maranhao Atletico Clube | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Ypiranga | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 13 |  Barra | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Figueirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 16 |  Confianca | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 17 |  Botafogo da Paraíba | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Volta Redonda | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | 5 |
| 19 |  Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Anápolis | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:12 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.