EBK vs Grankulla: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
EBKvs
GrankullaOur model leans EBK (72% probability), high confidence.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- EBK have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between EBK and Grankulla. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 72% for EBK, 7% for the draw and 21% for Grankulla.
Several signals point toward EBK. The odds point to a clear favourite. EBK have home advantage.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 40%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, EBK or Grankulla?
Our model rates EBK as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for EBK vs Grankulla?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
illustrative trendMatch statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedEBK make it count (Roope Sipi (5')). It's 1–0 at this point.
No goals but plenty of bite: 3 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 1–0.
Half-time score: EBK 1 – 0 Grankulla.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
League table
Finland. Kakkonen. Division 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Honka | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18:5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Abo IFK | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:5 | 14 |
| 3 |  HJS Akatemia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Pallo-Iirot | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Ilves II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 9 |
| 6 |  EPS | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Grankulla | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 8 | EBK | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 9 |  Musan Salama | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:23 | 1 |
| 10 |  Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 5:19 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.