Sutjeska Niksic vs Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Sutjeska Niksic (45% probability), high confidence.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- Head-to-head record favours Sutjeska Niksic (3-2-1).
- Recent form favours Sutjeska Niksic.
- Sutjeska Niksic have home advantage.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Sutjeska Niksic and Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 45% for Sutjeska Niksic, 25% for the draw and 30% for Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje.
Several signals point toward Sutjeska Niksic. Head-to-head record favours Sutjeska Niksic (3-2-1). Recent form favours Sutjeska Niksic. Sutjeska Niksic have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Sutjeska Niksic wins, 2 draws and 1 Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje wins. Recent scorelines: 0-2, 2-0, 0-0, 3-3, 2-1.
On form, Sutjeska Niksic show W-L-D-W-D across their recent outings, while Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje read L-L-D-L-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sutjeska Niksic or Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje?
Our model rates Sutjeska Niksic as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Sutjeska Niksic wins, 2 draws, 1 Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje make it count (Radojevic (18'), Obradovic (26'), Georgios Makrydakis (42')). It's 0–3 at this point.
Half-time score: Sutjeska Niksic 0 – 3 Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje.
Sutjeska Niksic make it count (Mrvaljevic (52')). It's 1–3 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–3)
League table
Montenegro. First League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 60:33 | 72 | |
| 2 | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 49:29 | 66 | |
| 3 | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 43:44 | 51 | |
| 4 | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 43:35 | 50 | |
| 5 | 35 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 35:34 | 47 | |
| 6 | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 35:42 | 46 | |
| 7 | 35 | 13 | 18 | 4 | 45:53 | 43 | |
| 8 | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 38:46 | 41 | |
| 9 | 35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 37:48 | 33 | |
| 10 | 35 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 27:48 | 32 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.