← All predictions
Morocco. Botola 2

Stade Marocain vs Widad Fez: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Stade Marocain Stade MarocainvsWidad Fez Widad Fez
Our predictionStade Marocain to win
Confidence: Low
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Stade Marocain (37% probability), low confidence.

Win probabilities

1 · Stade Marocain37%
Draw26%
2 · Widad Fez36%
1 · Stade MarocainDraw2 · Widad Fez
Team strength rating
Stade Marocain
47
Widad Fez
42
Full team comparison

Recent form

Stade MarocainWLLLL
Widad FezLDLDL

Expected goals

1.37Stade Marocain
xG
1.23Widad Fez
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.2%
0-19.1%
2-18.6%
1-27.7%
0-07.4%

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07962
1101383
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Stade Marocain win2.64Fair (+2.1%)
Double chanceStade Marocain or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Stade Marocain2.64+2.1%
1X2Draw3.52+0.2%
1X2Widad Fez2.39-2.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Stade Marocain Widad Fez

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Stade Marocain and Widad Fez. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 37% for Stade Marocain, 26% for the draw and 36% for Widad Fez.

Several signals point toward Stade Marocain. Recent form favours Stade Marocain. Stade Marocain have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Stade Marocain wins, 3 draws and 2 Widad Fez wins. Recent scorelines: 0-0, 1-0, 1-2, 1-1, 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Stade Marocain show W-L-L-L-L across their recent outings, while Widad Fez read L-D-L-D-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Stade Marocain" (1X2): we rate it 37% versus the 35% implied by odds of 2.64 — an edge of 2.1 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Stade Marocain or Widad Fez?

Our model rates Stade Marocain as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Stade Marocain vs Widad Fez?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Stade Marocain wins, 3 draws, 2 Widad Fez wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

illustrative trend
3.893.463.042.622.19
Home 2.64 Draw 3.52 Away 2.39

League table

Morocco. Botola 2
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Widad Temara241121129:2144
2Moghreb Tetouan25115926:2042
3Amal Tiznit24831329:2037
4Jeunesse d'El Massira25961023:1437
5Chabab Atlas Khenifra2497821:1735
6Soualem25871030:3034
7KAC Kenitra25771128:2732
8Chabab Mohammedia2589820:2932
9Widad Fez2489726:2331
10Mouloudia Club d'Oujda25781030:3331
11Jeunesse Ben Guerir2579922:2630
12Boujaad24671120:1829
13Stade Marocain2479818:2129
14USM Oujda2469922:2427
15Raja Beni Mellal255101017:2625
16Racing de Casablanca24313817:2917
Promotion - Morocco. Botola Promotion - Morocco. Botola (Promotion) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.