Zsambek vs Mosonmagyarovari TE: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans the draw (79% probability), high confidence.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Head-to-head record favours Mosonmagyarovari TE (0-0-2).
- Recent form favours Mosonmagyarovari TE.
- Zsambek have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Zsambek and Mosonmagyarovari TE. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 5% for Zsambek, 79% for the draw and 16% for Mosonmagyarovari TE.
Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.
Across the last 2 meetings, the record reads 0 Zsambek wins, 0 draws and 2 Mosonmagyarovari TE wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 1-2.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Zsambek show L-W-L-W-L across their recent outings, while Mosonmagyarovari TE read W-L-W-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Mosonmagyarovari TE" (1X2): we rate it 16% versus the 9% implied by odds of 10.50 — an edge of 7.5 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zsambek or Mosonmagyarovari TE?
Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 79% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zsambek vs Mosonmagyarovari TE?
A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Zsambek wins, 0 draws, 2 Mosonmagyarovari TE wins.
Odds movement
illustrative trendMatch statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Unknown (16'), Unknown (23'), Unknown (34')). Score moves to 1–2.
Half-time score: Zsambek 1 – 2 Mosonmagyarovari TE.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–2)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–2)
League table
Hungary. NB III| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 103:20 | 79 | |
| 2 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 61:37 | 59 | |
| 3 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 46:34 | 55 | |
| 4 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 58:34 | 54 | |
| 5 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 59:42 | 51 | |
| 6 | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:31 | 50 | |
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 42:32 | 44 | |
| 8 | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34:36 | 41 | |
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 52:51 | 38 | |
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 50:50 | 36 | |
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 47:63 | 34 | |
| 12 | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 45:48 | 34 | |
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 43:58 | 34 | |
| 14 | 29 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 42:82 | 21 | |
| 15 | 29 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 20:59 | 18 | |
| 16 | 29 | 3 | 22 | 4 | 34:101 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.