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Hungary. NB III

Zsambek vs Mosonmagyarovari TE: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Zsambek ZsambekvsMosonmagyarovari TE Mosonmagyarovari TE
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: High
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (79% probability), high confidence.

Win probabilities

1 · Zsambek5%
Draw79%
2 · Mosonmagyarovari TE16%
1 · ZsambekDraw2 · Mosonmagyarovari TE
Team strength rating
Zsambek
22
Mosonmagyarovari TE
56
Full team comparison

Recent form

ZsambekLWLWL
Mosonmagyarovari TEWLWDW

Expected goals

1.21Zsambek
xG
1.37Mosonmagyarovari TE
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
0-110.4%
1-09.1%
1-28.6%
2-17.6%
0-07.5%

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0810731
1913941
26852
3232
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.07Avoid (-7.9%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Mosonmagyarovari TE10.50+7.5%
1X2Zsambek20.00+0.4%
1X2Draw1.07-7.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Zsambek Mosonmagyarovari TE

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Zsambek and Mosonmagyarovari TE. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 5% for Zsambek, 79% for the draw and 16% for Mosonmagyarovari TE.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 2 meetings, the record reads 0 Zsambek wins, 0 draws and 2 Mosonmagyarovari TE wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 1-2.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Zsambek show L-W-L-W-L across their recent outings, while Mosonmagyarovari TE read W-L-W-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Mosonmagyarovari TE" (1X2): we rate it 16% versus the 9% implied by odds of 10.50 — an edge of 7.5 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Zsambek or Mosonmagyarovari TE?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 79% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Zsambek vs Mosonmagyarovari TE?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 0 Zsambek wins, 0 draws, 2 Mosonmagyarovari TE wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

illustrative trend
22.0716.8011.536.271.00
Home 20.00 Draw 1.07 Away 10.50

Match statistics

Unknown16'
23'Unknown
34'Unknown

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'12

An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Unknown (16'), Unknown (23'), Unknown (34')). Score moves to 1–2.

16'Unknown23'Unknown34'Unknown
Half-time

Half-time score: Zsambek 1 – 2 Mosonmagyarovari TE.

45–75'12

The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–2)

75–90'+12

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–2)

Full time: Zsambek 12 Mosonmagyarovari TE

League table

Hungary. NB III
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Gyirmot292621103:2079
2Tatabánya29198261:3759
3Dorogi29178446:3455
4Puskás Akademia II29179358:3454
5Komarom VSE29158659:4251
6Szombathelyi Haladás29159542:3150
7Mosonmagyarovari TE291311542:3244
8Veszprem291110834:3641
9Budaorsi291113552:5138
10Bicskei291013650:5036
11Gyori ETO II301016447:6334
12Ujpest II29913745:4834
13Sopron30914743:5834
14Papai Perutz29620342:8221
15Balatonfuredi29419620:5918
16Zsambek29322434:10113
Promotion - Hungary. NB III (Promotion - Play-off) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.