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Hungary. NB III

Szegedi Vasutas vs Szeged 2011 II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Szegedi Vasutas Szegedi VasutasvsSzeged 2011 II Szeged 2011 II
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: High
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (76% probability), high confidence.

Win probabilities

1 · Szegedi Vasutas10%
Draw76%
2 · Szeged 2011 II13%
1 · Szegedi VasutasDraw2 · Szeged 2011 II
Team strength rating
Szegedi Vasutas
29
Szeged 2011 II
31
Full team comparison

Recent form

Szegedi VasutasLWLLL
Szeged 2011 IILDWLL

Expected goals

1.33Szegedi Vasutas
xG
1.27Szeged 2011 II
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
1-09.9%
0-19.5%
2-18.3%
1-28.0%
0-07.5%

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07963
11013831
27852
3342
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.20Fair (-0.7%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Szegedi Vasutas9.62+0.8%
1X2Szeged 2011 II6.95-0.1%
1X2Draw1.20-0.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Szegedi Vasutas Szeged 2011 II

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Szegedi Vasutas and Szeged 2011 II. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 10% for Szegedi Vasutas, 76% for the draw and 13% for Szeged 2011 II.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 Szegedi Vasutas wins, 0 draws and 1 Szeged 2011 II wins. Recent scorelines: 4-2.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Szegedi Vasutas show L-W-L-L-L across their recent outings, while Szeged 2011 II read L-D-W-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Szegedi Vasutas or Szeged 2011 II?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Szegedi Vasutas vs Szeged 2011 II?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Szegedi Vasutas wins, 0 draws, 1 Szeged 2011 II wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

illustrative trend
10.628.245.863.481.10
Home 9.62 Draw 1.20 Away 6.95

Match statistics

9'Unknown

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'01

Szeged 2011 II make it count (Unknown (9')). It's 0–1 at this point.

9'Unknown
15–45'01

A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–1)

Half-time

Half-time score: Szegedi Vasutas 0 – 1 Szeged 2011 II.

45–75'01

The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–1)

75–90'+01

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–1)

Full time: Szegedi Vasutas 01 Szeged 2011 II

League table

Hungary. NB II
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Vasas29196457:2561
2Honved29186548:2259
3Kecskemeti TE291610349:3651
4Mezokovesd-Zsory SE29139737:3346
5Kozarmisleny SE29128936:3945
6Aqvital Csakvar291181042:3743
7Fehervar291010936:3039
8Budapesti VSC291113532:2938
9Szeged 201129911929:3336
10Tiszakecske291010936:4235
11Karcagi29912828:3935
12Ajka291016322:3833
13Soroksar29713938:4530
14Szentlorinc SE296111233:4130
15Budafoki MTE-Ujbuda29615830:4826
16Bekescsaba 1912 Előre295141026:4225
Promotion - Hungary Championship Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.