Papai Perutz vs Szombathelyi Haladás: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Papai Perutzvs
Szombathelyi HaladásOur model leans Szombathelyi Haladás (55% probability), high confidence.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Papai Perutz have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Papai Perutz and Szombathelyi Haladás. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 15% for Papai Perutz, 30% for the draw and 55% for Szombathelyi Haladás.
Several signals point toward Szombathelyi Haladás. The odds point to a clear favourite.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 Papai Perutz wins, 0 draws and 1 Szombathelyi Haladás wins. Recent scorelines: 2-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 0-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Papai Perutz show L-W-L-L-L across their recent outings, while Szombathelyi Haladás read L-L-W-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 46%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Papai Perutz or Szombathelyi Haladás?
Our model rates Szombathelyi Haladás as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Papai Perutz vs Szombathelyi Haladás?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Papai Perutz wins, 0 draws, 1 Szombathelyi Haladás wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
illustrative trendMatch statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedSzombathelyi Haladás make it count (Unknown (3')). It's 0–1 at this point.
Papai Perutz make it count (Unknown (41')). It's 1–1 at this point.
Half-time score: Papai Perutz 1 – 1 Szombathelyi Haladás.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–1)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–1)
League table
Hungary. NB III| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gyirmot | 29 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 103:20 | 79 |
| 2 |  Tatabánya | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 61:37 | 59 |
| 3 |  Dorogi | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 46:34 | 55 |
| 4 |  Puskás Akademia II | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 58:34 | 54 |
| 5 |  Komarom VSE | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 59:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Szombathelyi Haladás | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:31 | 50 |
| 7 |  Mosonmagyarovari TE | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 42:32 | 44 |
| 8 |  Veszprem | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34:36 | 41 |
| 9 |  Budaorsi | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 52:51 | 38 |
| 10 |  Bicskei | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 50:50 | 36 |
| 11 |  Gyori ETO II | 30 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 47:63 | 34 |
| 12 |  Ujpest II | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 45:48 | 34 |
| 13 |  Sopron | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 43:58 | 34 |
| 14 | Papai Perutz | 29 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 42:82 | 21 |
| 15 |  Balatonfuredi | 29 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 20:59 | 18 |
| 16 |  Zsambek | 29 | 3 | 22 | 4 | 34:101 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.