Pelister vs Bashkimi Kumanovo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Pelister and Bashkimi Kumanovo. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 76% for Pelister, 7% for the draw and 16% for Bashkimi Kumanovo.

Several signals point toward Pelister. The odds point to a clear favourite. Pelister have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Pelister wins, 1 draws and 3 Bashkimi Kumanovo wins. Recent scorelines: 1-0, 1-2, 1-2, 4-0, 1-3.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-0 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Pelister show D-L-D-W-L across their recent outings, while Bashkimi Kumanovo read D-D-W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 30%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Bashkimi Kumanovo" (1X2): we rate it 16% versus the 14% implied by odds of 6.60 — an edge of 2.5 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.