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Brazil Championship. Women

Atletico Mineiro (Women) vs Ferroviaria SP (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Atletico Mineiro (Women) Atletico Mineiro (Women)vsFerroviaria SP (Women) Ferroviaria SP (Women)
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: Medium
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (47% probability), medium confidence.

Win probabilities

1 · Atletico Mineiro (Women)22%
Draw47%
2 · Ferroviaria SP (Women)31%
1 · Atletico Mineiro (Women)Draw2 · Ferroviaria SP (Women)
Team strength rating
Atletico Mineiro (Women)
39
Ferroviaria SP (Women)
50
Full team comparison

Recent form

Atletico Mineiro (Women)WLDLD
Ferroviaria SP (Women)LLWDL

Expected goals

1.24Atletico Mineiro (Women)
xG
1.34Ferroviaria SP (Women)
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
0-110.1%
1-09.3%
1-28.4%
2-17.8%
0-07.5%

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0810731
1913841
26852
3232
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.82Avoid (-4.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Atletico Mineiro (Women)4.72+2.5%
1X2Ferroviaria SP (Women)3.23+2.2%
1X2Draw1.82-4.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Atletico Mineiro (Women) Ferroviaria SP (Women)

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Atletico Mineiro (Women) and Ferroviaria SP (Women). After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 22% for Atletico Mineiro (Women), 47% for the draw and 31% for Ferroviaria SP (Women).

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 3 meetings, the record reads 0 Atletico Mineiro (Women) wins, 0 draws and 3 Ferroviaria SP (Women) wins. Recent scorelines: 3-2, 2-4, 2-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Atletico Mineiro (Women) show W-L-D-L-D across their recent outings, while Ferroviaria SP (Women) read L-L-W-D-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Atletico Mineiro (Women)" (1X2): we rate it 22% versus the 20% implied by odds of 4.72 — an edge of 2.5 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Atletico Mineiro (Women) or Ferroviaria SP (Women)?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Atletico Mineiro (Women) vs Ferroviaria SP (Women)?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings: 0 Atletico Mineiro (Women) wins, 0 draws, 3 Ferroviaria SP (Women) wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

illustrative trend
5.214.333.442.561.68
Home 4.72 Draw 1.82 Away 3.23

Match statistics

42
Possession
58
1
Total shots
2
1
Shots on target
0
0
Corners
1
1
Yellow cards
0
Hingredy🟨4'

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.

4'🟨Hingredy
15–45'00

A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)

Half-time

Half-time score: Atletico Mineiro (Women) 0 – 0 Ferroviaria SP (Women).

45–75'00

The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–0)

75–90'+00

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)

Full time: Atletico Mineiro (Women) 00 Ferroviaria SP (Women)

League table

Brazil Championship. Women
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Palmeiras (Women)1281327:1027
2Corinthians Paulista (Women)1182127:1225
3Sao Paulo (Women)1172216:823
4Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Women)1262419:1322
5Bahia (Women)1263322:1621
6Cruzeiro (Women)1251623:1421
7Internacional (Women)1264213:1020
8Ferroviaria SP (Women)1152416:1019
9Gremio Porto Alegrense (Women)1255217:1217
10Red Bull Bragantino (Women)1255219:2017
11Fluminense RJ (Women)1244414:1416
12Santos (Women)1133512:1214
13Atletico Mineiro (Women)1135312:1312
14Juventude Rio Grande do Sul (Women)122737:129
15Mixto Esporte Clube (Women)111647:207
16Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas (Women)101727:195
17EC Vitoria Salvador (Women)110837:283
18America Mineiro (Women)110833:253
Promotion - Brazil Championship. Women (Play-off: Round of 8) Relegation - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A2. Women

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.