Monte Roraima vs Sao Raimundo EC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Monte Roraimavs
Sao Raimundo ECOur model leans Monte Roraima (72% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −The head-to-head record favours Sao Raimundo EC (0-3-2).
- +Monte Roraima have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Sao Raimundo EC (0-3-2).
- Monte Roraima have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Match DNA
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Monte Roraima and Sao Raimundo EC. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 72% for Monte Roraima, 5% for the draw and 23% for Sao Raimundo EC.
Several signals point toward Monte Roraima. The odds point to a clear favourite. Monte Roraima have home advantage.
Across the last 5 meetings, the record reads 0 Monte Roraima wins, 3 draws and 2 Sao Raimundo EC wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1, 1-1, 1-1, 1-2, 2-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Monte Roraima show W-W-D-D-D across their recent outings, while Sao Raimundo EC read W-W-D-W-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 40%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Sao Raimundo EC" (1X2): we rate it 23% versus the 19% implied by odds of 4.80, an edge of 3.5 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Monte Roraima or Sao Raimundo EC?
Our model rates Monte Roraima as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Monte Roraima vs Sao Raimundo EC?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Monte Roraima wins, 3 draws, 2 Sao Raimundo EC wins.
Odds movement
illustrative trendMatch statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)
Half-time score: Monte Roraima 0 – 0 Sao Raimundo EC.
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Unknown (60'), Matheus Frederico Lima Taumaturgo (69')). Score moves to 1–1.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–1)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.