Neratovice-Byskovice vs Kolin: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Kolin (54% probability), high confidence.
Вероятности исходов
Недавняя форма
Ожидаемые голы
Наиболее вероятные счета
Матрица вероятности счёта
| Х \\ Г | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Каждая ячейка показывает вероятность (%) точного счёта (голы хозяев по вертикали, голы гостей по горизонтали). Рассчитано по модели Пуассона на ожидаемых голах.
Ключевые моменты
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Head-to-head record favours Neratovice-Byskovice (2-2-1).
- Recent form favours Kolin.
- Neratovice-Byskovice have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Варианты ставок
Оценки сравнивают вероятность нашей модели с коэффициентами букмекера. «Value» означает, что наша модель оценивает исход выше, чем рынок. Не совет по ставкам.
Радар value
Рынки, где наша модель расходится с букмекером. Положительный перевес означает, что модель считает исход более вероятным, чем подразумевает коэффициент — потенциальный value.
ДНК матча
Полный анализ
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and absentees to frame this clash between Neratovice-Byskovice and Kolin. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 33% for Neratovice-Byskovice, 13% for the draw and 54% for Kolin.
Several signals point toward Kolin. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Kolin.
Across the last 5 meetings, the record reads 2 Neratovice-Byskovice wins, 2 draws and 1 Kolin wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1, 0-0, 3-4, 2-1, 3-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 0-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Neratovice-Byskovice show D-L-W-W-W across their recent outings, while Kolin read W-W-D-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Neratovice-Byskovice" (1X2): we rate it 33% versus the 31% implied by odds of 2.96 — an edge of 2.0 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Частые вопросы
Who is the favourite, Neratovice-Byskovice or Kolin?
Our model rates Kolin as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Neratovice-Byskovice vs Kolin?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis — as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 2 Neratovice-Byskovice wins, 2 draws, 1 Kolin wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Движение коэффициентов
иллюстративный трендСтатистика матча
Ход матча
Как разворачивалась играNeratovice-Byskovice make it count (Sustr (14')). It's 1–0 at this point.
No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 1–0.
Half-time score: Neratovice-Byskovice 1 – 0 Kolin.
Kolin make it count (Filip Temelkovski (69')). It's 1–1 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–1)
Турнирная таблица
Czech Republic. 3 Liga - Group B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 78:22 | 82 | |
| 2 | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 64:22 | 70 | |
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 57:34 | 58 | |
| 4 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 60:40 | 55 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:38 | 47 | |
| 6 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 62:47 | 40 | |
| 7 | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 45:55 | 38 | |
| 8 | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 49:49 | 37 | |
| 9 | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 36:46 | 35 | |
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 67:57 | 34 | |
| 11 | 29 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 37:61 | 31 | |
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 44:55 | 30 | |
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 34:51 | 30 | |
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 35:56 | 30 | |
| 15 | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 38:60 | 30 | |
| 16 | 30 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 46:74 | 25 | |
| 17 | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 35:64 | 24 |
Прогнозы — статистический анализ только для информации, не совет по ставкам и не гарантия. 18+. Играйте ответственно.