Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: Team Comparison
Pumas UNAMvsCruz Azul 
Comparing Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Pumas UNAM — a 51% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 14%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Cruz Azul carry the stronger recent form, Pumas UNAM project for more goals (1.40 xG), Cruz Azul have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Pumas UNAM | Metric | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | Strength rating | 56 |
| 51% | Win probability | 35% |
| D L L D D | Recent form | D W D L W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.40 | Expected goals | 0.92 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Pumas UNAM or Cruz Azul?
The model favours Pumas UNAM at 51%, with the draw at 14%.