Delfin vs Barcelona Sporting Club: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Barcelona Sporting Club (79% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours Barcelona Sporting Club (0-1-5).
- −Delfin have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Barcelona Sporting Club (0-1-5).
- Delfin have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 20 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Delfin and Barcelona Sporting Club. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 7% for Delfin, 14% for the draw and 79% for Barcelona Sporting Club.
Several signals point toward Barcelona Sporting Club. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Barcelona Sporting Club (0-1-5).
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 0 Delfin wins, 1 draws and 5 Barcelona Sporting Club wins. Recent scorelines: 0-1, 2-0, 4-0, 1-3, 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 0-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Delfin show D-W-L-W-L across their recent outings, while Barcelona Sporting Club read L-W-W-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 25%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Over 2.5" (O/U 2.5): we rate it 38% versus the 23% implied by odds of 4.28, an edge of 14.5 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Delfin or Barcelona Sporting Club?
Our model rates Barcelona Sporting Club as the most likely outcome at 79% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Delfin vs Barcelona Sporting Club?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Delfin wins, 1 draws, 5 Barcelona Sporting Club wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Referee: 62cd3ae6f75a663f699d892cMatch story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Delfin make it count (Mendoza (37')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Delfin 1 – 0 Barcelona Sporting Club.
Barcelona Sporting Club make it count (Celiz (71')). It's 1–1 at this point.
Barcelona Sporting Club make it count (Baez C.J. (86')). It's 1–2 at this point.
League table
Ecuador. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 28:16 | 34 | |
| 2 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16:13 | 24 | |
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 17:17 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:11 | 23 | |
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:19 | 22 | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 22 | |
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:17 | 19 | |
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 12:15 | 19 | |
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 12:16 | 19 | |
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16:16 | 17 | |
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 19:21 | 17 | |
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:20 | 17 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14:17 | 16 | |
| 15 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | 16 | |
| 16 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 4:15 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.