CSKA Sofia 1948 vs Levski Sofia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CSKA Sofia 1948vs
Levski SofiaOur model leans Levski Sofia (47% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours Levski Sofia (1-0-5).
- −CSKA Sofia 1948 have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Levski Sofia (1-0-5).
- CSKA Sofia 1948 have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between CSKA Sofia 1948 and Levski Sofia. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 26% for CSKA Sofia 1948, 27% for the draw and 47% for Levski Sofia.
Several signals point toward Levski Sofia. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Levski Sofia (1-0-5).
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 CSKA Sofia 1948 wins, 0 draws and 5 Levski Sofia wins. Recent scorelines: 1-0, 1-3, 2-1, 2-0, 2-4.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-2 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, CSKA Sofia 1948 show L-D-W-W-W across their recent outings, while Levski Sofia read L-D-W-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Levski Sofia" (1X2): we rate it 47% versus the 44% implied by odds of 2.12, an edge of 2.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CSKA Sofia 1948 or Levski Sofia?
Our model rates Levski Sofia as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CSKA Sofia 1948 vs Levski Sofia?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 CSKA Sofia 1948 wins, 0 draws, 5 Levski Sofia wins.
Match statistics
Referee: 68af66449930a40b3cd1336aMatch story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
Half-time score: CSKA Sofia 1948 0 – 0 Levski Sofia.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)
League table
Bulgaria. First League (Championship. Play-off)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 71:25 | 80 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia 1948 | 35 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 54:35 | 66 |
| 3 |  Ludogorets 1945 | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 60:25 | 64 |
| 4 |  CSKA Sofia | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:29 | 63 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.