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Sweden. Superettan

IFK Norrkoping vs Osters: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

IFK Norrkoping IFK NorrkopingvsOsters Osters
Our predictionIFK Norrkoping to win
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans IFK Norrkoping (95% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

Win probabilities

1 · IFK Norrkoping95%
Draw1%
2 · Osters4%
1 · IFK NorrkopingDraw2 · Osters
Full team comparison

Recent form

IFK NorrkopingDDWLW
OstersWLLDL
Team strength rating
IFK Norrkoping
93
Osters
26

Most likely scorelines

2-020.5%
3-017.8%
1-015.8%
4-011.6%
0-06.1%
5-06.0%

Expected goals

2.60IFK Norrkoping
xG
0.20Osters
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score16%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
IFK Norrkoping Osters

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2IFK Norrkoping win1.01Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.86Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
061
1163
2214
3184
4122
561

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2IFK Norrkoping1.01+0.3%
1X2Draw69.00-0.1%
1X2Osters22.00-0.3%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.86-2.4%
O/U 2.5Under 2.51.94-2.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between IFK Norrkoping and Osters. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 95% for IFK Norrkoping, 1% for the draw and 4% for Osters.

Several signals point toward IFK Norrkoping. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours IFK Norrkoping (4-2-0). IFK Norrkoping have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 IFK Norrkoping wins, 2 draws and 0 Osters wins. Recent scorelines: 1-3, 1-2, 4-3, 1-1, 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, IFK Norrkoping show D-D-W-L-W across their recent outings, while Osters read W-L-L-D-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 16%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, IFK Norrkoping or Osters?

Our model rates IFK Norrkoping as the most likely outcome at 95% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for IFK Norrkoping vs Osters?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 4 IFK Norrkoping wins, 2 draws, 0 Osters wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Referee: 61158e6ff75a663f69ada696
60
Possession
40
15
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
4
5
Corners
3
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
8
Sandberg🟨34'
Prica T.38'
Jemal43'
Sernelius🟨45+2'
59'🟨Olsson De.
Holst-Larsen60'
Cristiansson60'
Bronner🟨65'
65'Maenpaa A.
65'Tamminen M.
72'Musa Njie
Lif73'
Aleksanjan73'

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'20

IFK Norrkoping make it count (Prica T. (38'), Jemal (43')). It's 2–0 at this point.

34'🟨Sandberg38'Prica T.43'Jemal45+2'🟨Sernelius
Half-time

Half-time score: IFK Norrkoping 2 – 0 Osters.

45–75'20

No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 2–0.

59'🟨Olsson De.60'Holst-Larsen60'Cristiansson65'🟨Bronner65'Maenpaa A.65'Tamminen M.72'Musa Njie73'Lif73'Aleksanjan
75–90'+20

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–0)

Full time: IFK Norrkoping 20 Osters

League table

Sweden. Superettan
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Varbergs BoIS951319:1018
2Falkenbergs951316:1118
3Nordic United953117:1616
4Oddevold942319:1515
5Ostersunds943215:1314
6Landskrona BoIS933311:1012
7Orebro83236:912
8IFK Norrkoping833213:811
9Helsingborgs833216:1711
10Brage934213:1411
11Osters833210:1511
12Ljungskile935111:1010
13Norrby911714:1410
14IFK Varnamo935114:1910
15Sandvikens91539:136
16Sundsvall92708:176
Promotion - Jupiler League Promotion - Higher League (Promotion) Sweden. Division 1 Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.