IFK Norrkoping vs Osters: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans IFK Norrkoping (95% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours IFK Norrkoping (4-2-0).
- +IFK Norrkoping have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours IFK Norrkoping (4-2-0).
- IFK Norrkoping have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: an open game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 18 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 12 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 6 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between IFK Norrkoping and Osters. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 95% for IFK Norrkoping, 1% for the draw and 4% for Osters.
Several signals point toward IFK Norrkoping. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours IFK Norrkoping (4-2-0). IFK Norrkoping have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 IFK Norrkoping wins, 2 draws and 0 Osters wins. Recent scorelines: 1-3, 1-2, 4-3, 1-1, 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, IFK Norrkoping show D-D-W-L-W across their recent outings, while Osters read W-L-L-D-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 16%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, IFK Norrkoping or Osters?
Our model rates IFK Norrkoping as the most likely outcome at 95% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for IFK Norrkoping vs Osters?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 IFK Norrkoping wins, 2 draws, 0 Osters wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Referee: 61158e6ff75a663f69ada696Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
IFK Norrkoping make it count (Prica T. (38'), Jemal (43')). It's 2–0 at this point.
Half-time score: IFK Norrkoping 2 – 0 Osters.
No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 2–0.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–0)
League table
Sweden. Superettan| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 18 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:16 | 16 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:15 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 14 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 12 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16:17 | 11 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:15 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:10 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14:14 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:19 | 10 | |
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:13 | 6 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 8:17 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.