Arminia Bielefeld II vs Rot Weiss Ahlen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Arminia Bielefeld IIvs
Rot Weiss AhlenOur model leans Rot Weiss Ahlen (38% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
- +The head-to-head record favours Rot Weiss Ahlen (2-0-4).
- +Recent form favours Rot Weiss Ahlen.
- −Arminia Bielefeld II have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The head-to-head record favours Rot Weiss Ahlen (2-0-4).
- Recent form favours Rot Weiss Ahlen.
- Arminia Bielefeld II have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Arminia Bielefeld II and Rot Weiss Ahlen. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 37% for Arminia Bielefeld II, 25% for the draw and 38% for Rot Weiss Ahlen.
Several signals point toward Rot Weiss Ahlen. The head-to-head record favours Rot Weiss Ahlen (2-0-4). Recent form favours Rot Weiss Ahlen.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Arminia Bielefeld II wins, 0 draws and 4 Rot Weiss Ahlen wins. Recent scorelines: 2-0, 1-2, 1-0, 0-3, 2-3.
On form, Arminia Bielefeld II show D-L-L-L-L across their recent outings, while Rot Weiss Ahlen read W-L-W-D-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Arminia Bielefeld II or Rot Weiss Ahlen?
Our model rates Rot Weiss Ahlen as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Arminia Bielefeld II wins, 0 draws, 4 Rot Weiss Ahlen wins.
League table
Germany. Oberliga Westfalen| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wattenscheid 09 | 35 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 78:28 | 79 |
| 2 |  Westfalia Rhynern | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 86:35 | 76 |
| 3 |  ASC 09 Dortmund | 35 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 80:40 | 74 |
| 4 |  Lippstadt 08 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 5 |  Preussen Munster II | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 80:49 | 68 |
| 6 |  Gievenbeck | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 55:53 | 46 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld II | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 55:54 | 46 |
| 8 |  TSV Victoria Clarholz | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 54:63 | 46 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Rheine | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 49:60 | 41 |
| 10 |  TSG Sprockhovel | 35 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 59:67 | 40 |
| 11 |  SpVgg Erkenschwick | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 12 |  Verl II | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 46:61 | 38 |
| 13 |  Schermbeck | 35 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 49:59 | 37 |
| 14 |  TuS Hiltrup | 36 | 9 | 17 | 10 | 42:57 | 37 |
| 15 |  TuS Ennepetal | 35 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 43:74 | 37 |
| 16 |  SpVgg Vreden 1921 | 35 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 49:68 | 36 |
| 17 | Rot Weiss Ahlen | 34 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 39:71 | 34 |
| 18 |  SG Finnentrop-Bamenohl | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 50:78 | 33 |
| 19 |  Turkspor Dortmund 2000 | 35 | 12 | 19 | 4 | 57:72 | 31 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.