← All predictions
Chile. Primera B

Deportes Copiapo vs Union Espanola: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Deportes Copiapo Deportes CopiapovsUnion Espanola Union Espanola
Our predictionDeportes Copiapo to win
Confidence: High · 65/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Deportes Copiapo (56% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

Win probabilities

1 · Deportes Copiapo56%
Draw15%
2 · Union Espanola30%
1 · Deportes CopiapoDraw2 · Union Espanola
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Union Espanola4.05+6.6%
O/U 2.5Under 2.52.23-0.7%
1X2Draw5.79-1.6%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.66-4.5%
1X2Deportes Copiapo1.54-5.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Deportes CopiapoLWWLL
Union EspanolaWWWWD

Expected goals

1.92Deportes Copiapo
xG
1.02Union Espanola
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score54%
Team strength rating
Deportes Copiapo
57
Union Espanola
66

Most likely scorelines

1-110.4%
1-010.2%
2-19.9%
2-09.8%
3-16.4%
3-06.2%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Deportes Copiapo Union Espanola

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Deportes Copiapo win1.54Avoid (-5.0%)
Total goalsOver 2.51.66Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0553
1101052
2101052
36631
4332
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Deportes Copiapo and Union Espanola. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 56% for Deportes Copiapo, 15% for the draw and 30% for Union Espanola.

Several signals point toward Deportes Copiapo. The odds point to a clear favourite. Deportes Copiapo have home advantage.

Across the last 4 meetings, the record reads 1 Deportes Copiapo wins, 0 draws and 3 Union Espanola wins. Recent scorelines: 2-3, 5-3, 4-3, 3-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Deportes Copiapo show L-W-W-L-L across their recent outings, while Union Espanola read W-W-W-W-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 54%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Union Espanola" (1X2): we rate it 30% versus the 23% implied by odds of 4.05, an edge of 6.6 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Deportes Copiapo or Union Espanola?

Our model rates Deportes Copiapo as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Deportes Copiapo vs Union Espanola?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 4 meetings: 1 Deportes Copiapo wins, 0 draws, 3 Union Espanola wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

52
Possession
48
7
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
1
3
Corners
1
0
Yellow cards
1
Espoz4'
22'🟨Roco

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'10

Deportes Copiapo make it count (Espoz (4')). It's 1–0 at this point.

4'Espoz
15–45'10

No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 1–0.

22'🟨Roco
Half-time

Half-time score: Deportes Copiapo 1 – 0 Union Espanola.

45–75'10

The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)

75–90'+10

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)

Full time: Deportes Copiapo 10 Union Espanola

League table

Chile. Primera B
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Santiago Wanderers1372427:1525
2Cobreloa1372427:1625
3San Marcos de Arica1360719:925
4Deportes Antofagasta1363422:1522
5Deportes Puerto Montt1375116:1422
6Deportes Temuco1353525:1720
7Union Espanola1264216:1220
8Deportes Recoleta1365223:2320
9San Luis de Quillota1354423:2119
10Deportes Magallanes1355320:2118
11Deportes Copiapo1245316:2115
12Deportes Iquique1325615:1812
13Curico Unido1325614:2412
14Union San Felipe1337310:2512
15Club de Deportes Santa Cruz1317517:258
16CSD Rangers13010311:253
Promotion - Chile. Primera Division Promotion - Chile. Primera Division (Promotion - Play-off: Round of 4) Promotion - Chile. Primera Division (Promotion - Play-off: Round of 8) Relegation - Segunda

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.