St. Mirren vs Partick Thistle: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between St. Mirren and Partick Thistle. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 76% for St. Mirren, 4% for the draw and 20% for Partick Thistle.

Several signals point toward St. Mirren. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours St. Mirren. St. Mirren have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 St. Mirren wins, 1 draws and 2 Partick Thistle wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1, 2-1, 2-0, 4-1, 5-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-0 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, St. Mirren show D-D-W-W-L across their recent outings, while Partick Thistle read D-L-D-D-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 32%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Over 2.5" (O/U 2.5): we rate it 42% versus the 19% implied by odds of 5.15, an edge of 22.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.