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Jamaica. National Premier League

Cavalier vs Portmore United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Cavalier CavaliervsPortmore United Portmore United
Our predictionPortmore United to win
Confidence: High · 87/100
Score hint: 1-2

Our model leans Portmore United (57% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

Win probabilities

1 · Cavalier18%
Draw25%
2 · Portmore United57%
1 · CavalierDraw2 · Portmore United
Full team comparison

Recent form

CavalierWWLDL
Portmore UnitedWWWDL
Team strength rating
Cavalier
46
Portmore United
73

Most likely scorelines

0-113.5%
0-211.6%
1-111.1%
1-29.6%
0-07.8%
0-36.6%

Expected goals

0.83Cavalier
xG
1.72Portmore United
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score46%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Cavalier Portmore United

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Portmore United win1.59Fair (-1.5%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
08131273
16111052
23542
311
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Draw3.88+1.1%
1X2Cavalier5.40+0.4%
1X2Portmore United1.59-1.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Cavalier and Portmore United. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 18% for Cavalier, 25% for the draw and 57% for Portmore United.

Several signals point toward Portmore United. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Cavalier wins, 2 draws and 2 Portmore United wins. Recent scorelines: 0-0, 1-0, 2-4, 1-0, 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-2 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Cavalier show W-W-L-D-L across their recent outings, while Portmore United read W-W-W-D-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 46%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Cavalier or Portmore United?

Our model rates Portmore United as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Cavalier vs Portmore United?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 2 Cavalier wins, 2 draws, 2 Portmore United wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

34
Possession
66
8
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
4
4
Corners
10
Robinson4'
26'Unknown
42'Unknown
Unknown59'

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'10

Portmore United make it count (Robinson (4')). It's 1–0 at this point.

4'Robinson
15–45'12

Cavalier make it count (Unknown (26'), Unknown (42')). It's 1–2 at this point.

26'Unknown42'Unknown
Half-time

Half-time score: Portmore United 1 – 2 Cavalier.

45–75'22

Portmore United make it count (Unknown (59')). It's 2–2 at this point.

59'Unknown
75–90'+22

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–2)

Full time: Portmore United 22 Cavalier

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.