Azam vs KMC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Azamvs
KMCOur model leans Azam (42% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
- +The head-to-head record favours Azam (6-0-0).
- −Recent form favours KMC.
- +Azam have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The head-to-head record favours Azam (6-0-0).
- Recent form favours KMC.
- Azam have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Azam and KMC. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 42% for Azam, 24% for the draw and 34% for KMC.
Several signals point toward Azam. The head-to-head record favours Azam (6-0-0). Azam have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 6 Azam wins, 0 draws and 0 KMC wins. Recent scorelines: 0-2, 2-0, 0-4, 1-2, 5-0.
On form, Azam show L-W-L-L-L across their recent outings, while KMC read W-L-W-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Azam or KMC?
Our model rates Azam as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 6 Azam wins, 0 draws, 0 KMC wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedAzam make it count (Salum F. (3')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Azam make it count (Salum F. (17'), Unknown (35')). It's 3–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Azam 3 – 0 KMC.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (3–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (3–0)
League table
Tanzania. Ligi Kuu Bara| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Simba SC | 25 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 45:10 | 58 |
| 2 |  Young Africans | 24 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 55:8 | 57 |
| 3 | Azam | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 35:9 | 49 |
| 4 |  Singida Black Stars | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 30:26 | 38 |
| 5 |  JKT Tanzania | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27:26 | 38 |
| 6 |  TRA United | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 31:24 | 37 |
| 7 |  Pamba Jiji | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:24 | 33 |
| 8 |  Dodoma | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 9 |  Fountain Gate | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 21:36 | 29 |
| 10 |  Coastal Union | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 24:31 | 28 |
| 11 |  Mashujaa | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 12:22 | 27 |
| 12 |  Mtibwa Sugar | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 23:36 | 27 |
| 13 |  Namungo | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 18:25 | 25 |
| 14 |  Mbeya City | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 19:35 | 22 |
| 15 |  Tanzania Prisons | 24 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 12:34 | 17 |
| 16 | KMC | 24 | 2 | 19 | 3 | 13:40 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.