Mexico vs South Africa: Team Comparison
MexicovsSouth Africa 
Comparing Mexico and South Africa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Mexico — a 64% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 12%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: South Africa carry the stronger recent form, Mexico project for more goals (1.92 xG), Mexico have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Mexico | Metric | South Africa |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 64% | Win probability | 24% |
| L L L D D | Recent form | D D W D W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.92 | Expected goals | 0.73 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Mexico or South Africa?
The model favours Mexico at 64%, with the draw at 12%.