Netherlands vs Japan: Team Comparison
NetherlandsvsJapan 
Comparing Netherlands and Japan across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Netherlands — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Japan carry the stronger recent form, Netherlands project for more goals (1.66 xG), Netherlands have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Netherlands | Metric | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Strength rating | 54 |
| 49% | Win probability | 28% |
| W L D W W | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.66 | Expected goals | 0.97 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Netherlands or Japan?
The model favours Netherlands at 49%, with the draw at 23%.