France vs Senegal: Team Comparison
Comparing France and Senegal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward France — a 67% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 12%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: France carry the stronger recent form, France project for more goals (1.99 xG), Senegal have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| France | Metric | Senegal |
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 67% | Win probability | 21% |
| W L W W W | Recent form | L W W L W |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.99 | Expected goals | 0.67 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, France or Senegal?
The model favours France at 67%, with the draw at 12%.