France vs Senegal: Team Comparison

France FrancevsSenegal Senegal

Comparing France and Senegal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward France — a 67% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 12%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: France carry the stronger recent form, France project for more goals (1.99 xG), Senegal have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

FranceMetricSenegal
78Strength rating42
67%Win probability21%
W L W W WRecent formL W W L W
0Head-to-head wins1
1.99Expected goals0.67
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, France or Senegal?

The model favours France at 67%, with the draw at 12%.