England vs Croatia: Team Comparison
EnglandvsCroatia 
Comparing England and Croatia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward England — a 58% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 18%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: England project for more goals (1.83 xG), England have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| England | Metric | Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| 75 | Strength rating | 45 |
| 58% | Win probability | 24% |
| W L D W W | Recent form | W L L W W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.83 | Expected goals | 0.82 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, England or Croatia?
The model favours England at 58%, with the draw at 18%.