USA vs Paraguay: Team Comparison
USAvsParaguay 
Comparing USA and Paraguay across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward USA — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Paraguay carry the stronger recent form, USA project for more goals (1.64 xG), USA have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| USA | Metric | Paraguay |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Strength rating | 52 |
| 49% | Win probability | 29% |
| L W L L W | Recent form | W L W W L |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.64 | Expected goals | 0.98 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, USA or Paraguay?
The model favours USA at 49%, with the draw at 22%.