USA vs Australia: Team Comparison
USAvsAustralia 
Comparing USA and Australia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward USA — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 18%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: USA project for more goals (1.78 xG), USA have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| USA | Metric | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 56% | Win probability | 26% |
| L W L L W | Recent form | D L W W L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.78 | Expected goals | 0.86 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, USA or Australia?
The model favours USA at 56%, with the draw at 18%.