Mexico vs South Korea: Team Comparison
MexicovsSouth Korea 
Comparing Mexico and South Korea across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Mexico — a 53% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Mexico carry the stronger recent form, Mexico project for more goals (1.75 xG), Mexico have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Mexico | Metric | South Korea |
|---|---|---|
| 75 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 53% | Win probability | 25% |
| W W W D D | Recent form | W W L L W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.75 | Expected goals | 0.89 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Mexico or South Korea?
The model favours Mexico at 53%, with the draw at 22%.