Sweden vs Tunisia: Team Comparison
SwedenvsTunisia 
Comparing Sweden and Tunisia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Sweden — a 51% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sweden carry the stronger recent form, Sweden project for more goals (1.71 xG), Sweden have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sweden | Metric | Tunisia |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Strength rating | 38 |
| 51% | Win probability | 26% |
| D L L W D | Recent form | L L D W L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.71 | Expected goals | 0.92 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sweden or Tunisia?
The model favours Sweden at 51%, with the draw at 23%.