Australia vs Turkey: Team Comparison
AustraliavsTurkey 
Comparing Australia and Turkey across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Turkey — a 31% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 51%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Turkey carry the stronger recent form, Turkey project for more goals (1.41 xG), Turkey have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Australia | Metric | Turkey |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Strength rating | 71 |
| 18% | Win probability | 31% |
| D L W W L | Recent form | W W W W D |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.18 | Expected goals | 1.41 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Australia or Turkey?
The model favours Turkey at 31%, with the draw at 51%.