Netherlands vs Sweden: Team Comparison
NetherlandsvsSweden 
Comparing Netherlands and Sweden across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Netherlands — a 62% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 16%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Netherlands project for more goals (1.91 xG), Netherlands have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Netherlands | Metric | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| 75 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 62% | Win probability | 22% |
| W L D W W | Recent form | D L W W D |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.91 | Expected goals | 0.74 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Netherlands or Sweden?
The model favours Netherlands at 62%, with the draw at 16%.