Netherlands vs Germany: Team Comparison
NetherlandsvsGermany 
Comparing Netherlands and Germany across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Netherlands — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Germany carry the stronger recent form, Netherlands project for more goals (1.38 xG), Netherlands have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Netherlands | Metric | Germany |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Strength rating | 50 |
| 41% | Win probability | 35% |
| L L L W L | Recent form | W L D L W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.38 | Expected goals | 1.22 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Netherlands or Germany?
The model favours Netherlands at 41%, with the draw at 24%.