Turkey vs France: Team Comparison
TurkeyvsFrance 
Comparing Turkey and France across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward France — a 57% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Turkey carry the stronger recent form, France project for more goals (1.76 xG), Turkey have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Turkey | Metric | France |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | Strength rating | 56 |
| 22% | Win probability | 57% |
| W L W L W | Recent form | L W L W L |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 0.84 | Expected goals | 1.76 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Turkey or France?
The model favours France at 57%, with the draw at 21%.