Canada vs Republic of Ireland: Team Comparison

Canada CanadavsRepublic of Ireland Republic of Ireland

Comparing Canada and Republic of Ireland across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Canada — a 60% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 15%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Canada carry the stronger recent form, Canada project for more goals (1.86 xG), Republic of Ireland have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

CanadaMetricRepublic of Ireland
60Strength rating35
60%Win probability24%
L D D L WRecent formL L D L W
0Head-to-head wins1
1.86Expected goals0.79
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Canada or Republic of Ireland?

The model favours Canada at 60%, with the draw at 15%.