Croatia vs Slovenia: Team Comparison
CroatiavsSlovenia 
Comparing Croatia and Slovenia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Croatia — a 69% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 10%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Croatia carry the stronger recent form, Croatia project for more goals (2.03 xG), Croatia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Croatia | Metric | Slovenia |
|---|---|---|
| 69 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 69% | Win probability | 21% |
| L L W W W | Recent form | W L D L D |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 2.03 | Expected goals | 0.63 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Croatia or Slovenia?
The model favours Croatia at 69%, with the draw at 10%.