Portugal vs Chile: Team Comparison
Comparing Portugal and Chile across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Portugal — a 77% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 6%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Chile carry the stronger recent form, Portugal project for more goals (2.19 xG), Chile have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Portugal | Metric | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Strength rating | 44 |
| 77% | Win probability | 17% |
| W D W L D | Recent form | L W W W W |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 2.19 | Expected goals | 0.49 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Portugal or Chile?
The model favours Portugal at 77%, with the draw at 6%.