England vs Spain: Team Comparison
EnglandvsSpain 
Comparing England and Spain across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Spain — a 40% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Spain carry the stronger recent form, Spain project for more goals (1.40 xG), England have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| England | Metric | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | Strength rating | 64 |
| 32% | Win probability | 40% |
| W L W L W | Recent form | W W W L W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.20 | Expected goals | 1.40 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, England or Spain?
The model favours Spain at 40%, with the draw at 28%.