USA vs Germany: Team Comparison
USAvsGermany 
Comparing USA and Germany across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Germany — a 28% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 54%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Germany carry the stronger recent form, Germany have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| USA | Metric | Germany |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | Strength rating | 65 |
| 18% | Win probability | 28% |
| W L L W W | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.23 | Expected goals | 1.36 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, USA or Germany?
The model favours Germany at 28%, with the draw at 54%.