Japan vs Sweden: Team Comparison
JapanvsSweden 
Comparing Japan and Sweden across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Japan — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Japan carry the stronger recent form, Japan project for more goals (1.65 xG), Japan have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Japan | Metric | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| 73 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 48% | Win probability | 27% |
| W W W W W | Recent form | D L W W D |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.65 | Expected goals | 0.97 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Japan or Sweden?
The model favours Japan at 48%, with the draw at 26%.