Turkey vs USA: Team Comparison
TurkeyvsUSA 
Comparing Turkey and USA across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Turkey — a 36% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 38%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Turkey project for more goals (1.49 xG), Turkey have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Turkey | Metric | USA |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Strength rating | 53 |
| 36% | Win probability | 27% |
| W L W L D | Recent form | W L W W L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.49 | Expected goals | 1.12 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Turkey or USA?
The model favours Turkey at 36%, with the draw at 38%.