Uruguay vs Spain: Team Comparison
UruguayvsSpain 
Comparing Uruguay and Spain across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Spain — a 30% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 53%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Spain project for more goals (1.39 xG), Spain have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Uruguay | Metric | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Strength rating | 62 |
| 17% | Win probability | 30% |
| D D L D W | Recent form | W D D L D |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.19 | Expected goals | 1.39 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Uruguay or Spain?
The model favours Spain at 30%, with the draw at 53%.