Poland vs Nigeria: Team Comparison
PolandvsNigeria 
Comparing Poland and Nigeria across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Nigeria — a 31% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 50%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Nigeria carry the stronger recent form, Nigeria project for more goals (1.23 xG), Nigeria have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Poland | Metric | Nigeria |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | Strength rating | 61 |
| 18% | Win probability | 31% |
| L L W W D | Recent form | W W D W W |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.05 | Expected goals | 1.23 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Poland or Nigeria?
The model favours Nigeria at 31%, with the draw at 50%.