Mexico vs Serbia: Team Comparison
MexicovsSerbia 
Comparing Mexico and Serbia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Mexico — a 80% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 6%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Mexico carry the stronger recent form, Mexico project for more goals (2.26 xG), Mexico have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Mexico | Metric | Serbia |
|---|---|---|
| 88 | Strength rating | 34 |
| 80% | Win probability | 14% |
| W W D D W | Recent form | L W L W L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 2.26 | Expected goals | 0.42 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Mexico or Serbia?
The model favours Mexico at 80%, with the draw at 6%.